|  | No. of patients | Myocardial infarction | Stroke | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | No. of events | IR (/1,000 PY) | aHR* (95% CI) | No. of events | IR (/1,000 PY) | aHR* (95% CI) | |
Overall | Non-exercisers | 110,499 | 3,011 | 4.4 | 1 (Reference) | 2,634 | 3.8 | 1 (Reference) |
 | Exercisers |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
 | New exercisers | 21,056 | 482 | 3.7 | 0.82 (0.75–0.91) | 403 | 3.1 | 0.79 (0.71–0.88) |
 | Exercise dropouts | 19,377 | 444 | 3.7 | 0.79 (0.72–0.87) | 447 | 3.7 | 0.91 (0.82–1.00) |
 | Exercise maintainers | 14,910 | 296 | 3.2 | 0.72 (0.64–0.81) | 261 | 2.8 | 0.72 (0.64–0.82) |
 | P-value |  |  |  | < 0.001 |  |  | < 0.001 |
Age, years | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
  < 40 years | Non-exercisers | 7,215 | 35 | 0.7 | 1 (Reference) | 14 | 0.3 | 1 (Reference) |
 | Exercisers |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
 | New exercisers | 950 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.22 (0.03–1.62) | 1 | 0.2 | 0.56 (0.07–4.23) |
 | Exercise dropouts | 917 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.53 (0.68–3.45) | 4 | 0.6 | 2.21 (0.73–6.71) |
 | Exercise maintainers | 539 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.78 (0.19–3.26) | 2 | 0.6 | 1.94 (0.44–8.55) |
 | P-value |  |  |  | 0.228 |  |  | 0.479 |
  40–64 years | Non-exercisers | 64,907 | 1,301 | 3.1 | 1 (Reference) | 811 | 2.0 | 1 (Reference) |
 | Exercisers |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
 | New exercisers | 12,625 | 229 | 2.8 | 0.87 (0.76–1.00) | 147 | 1.8 | 0.88 (0.74–1.05) |
 | Exercise dropouts | 10,952 | 183 | 2.6 | 0.79 (0.67–0.92) | 137 | 2.0 | 0.94 (0.78–1.12) |
 | Exercise maintainers | 8,924 | 138 | 2.4 | 0.76 (0.64–0.90) | 68 | 1.2 | 0.58 (0.45–0.74) |
 | P-value |  |  |  | < 0.001 |  |  | < 0.001 |
  ≥ 65 years | Non-exercisers | 38,377 | 1,675 | 7.5 | 1 (Reference) | 1,809 | 8.1 | 1 (Reference) |
 | Exercisers |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
 | New exercisers | 7,481 | 252 | 5.7 | 0.79 (0.69–0.90) | 255 | 5.8 | 0.75 (0.65–0.85) |
 | Exercise dropouts | 7,508 | 254 | 5.8 | 0.78 (0.69–0.90) | 306 | 7.0 | 0.88 (0.78–1.00) |
 | Exercise maintainers | 5,447 | 156 | 4.9 | 0.69 (0.59–0.82) | 191 | 6.0 | 0.79 (0.68–0.91) |
 | P-value |  |  |  | < 0.001 |  |  | < 0.001 |
 | P for interaction†|  |  |  | 0.434 |  |  | 0.074 |
Sex | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
  Male | Non-exercisers | 50,714 | 1,550 | 4.9 | 1 (Reference) | 1,430 | 4.6 | 1 (Reference) |
 | Exercisers |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
 | New exercisers | 10,856 | 295 | 4.4 | 0.84 (0.74–0.95) | 255 | 3.8 | 0.78 (0.68–0.89) |
 | Exercise dropouts | 9,935 | 262 | 4.3 | 0.79 (0.69–0.90) | 280 | 4.6 | 0.89 (0.79–1.02) |
 | Exercise maintainers | 8,831 | 203 | 3.7 | 0.73 (0.63–0.84) | 197 | 3.6 | 0.75 (0.65–0.87) |
 | P-value |  |  |  | < 0.001 |  |  | < 0.001 |
  Female | Non-exercisers | 59,785 | 1,461 | 3.9 | 1 (Reference) | 1,204 | 3.2 | 1 (Reference) |
 | Exercisers |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
 | New exercisers | 10,200 | 187 | 2.9 | 0.79 (0.68–0.93) | 148 | 2.3 | 0.82 (0.69–0.97) |
 | Exercise dropouts | 9,442 | 182 | 3.1 | 0.79 (0.68–0.92) | 167 | 2.8 | 0.93 (0.79–1.09) |
 | Exercise maintainers | 6,079 | 93 | 2.5 | 0.71 (0.58–0.88) | 64 | 1.7 | 0.65 (0.51–0.84) |
 | P-value |  |  |  | < 0.001 |  |  | 0.002 |
 | P for interaction†|  |  |  | 0.946 |  |  | 0.714 |