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Table 5 Risk of exacerbation or death from Month 6 onwards by CID status at Month 6 in the overall population and by GOLD

From: Composite endpoints in COPD: clinically important deterioration in the UPLIFT trial

Outcome at Month 6

Patients with any CID event vs. patients without, HR (95% CI)

Patients with confirmed FEV1 decline vs. patients without, HR (95% CI)

Patients with confirmed SGRQ deterioration vs. patients without, HR (95% CI)

Patients with moderate/severe exacerbation vs. patients without, HR (95% CI)

Overall population

 Moderate/severe exacerbation

1.79 (1.67, 1.92)

1.11 (1.02, 1.22)

1.30 (1.18, 1.43)

2.36 (2.20, 2.53)

 Severe exacerbation

1.67 (1.49, 1.86)

1.06 (0.92, 1.23)

1.66 (1.44, 1.91)

1.88 (1.68, 2.11)

 Death up to Day 1470

1.21 (1.06, 1.39)

1.09 (0.92, 1.31)

1.27 (1.05, 1.54)

1.22 (1.05, 1.41)

GOLD 2

 Moderate/severe exacerbation

1.73 (1.56, 1.92)

1.15 (1.01, 1.30)

1.24 (1.07, 1.44)

2.49 (2.23, 2.78)

 Severe exacerbation

1.58 (1.30, 1.92)

1.23 (0.97, 1.55)

1.77 (1.37, 2.27)

1.79 (1.46, 2.21)

 Death up to Day 1470

1.21 (0.95, 1.55)

1.26 (0.94, 1.68)

1.36 (0.98, 1.90)

1.01 (0.75, 1.35)

GOLD 3

 Moderate/severe exacerbation

1.84 (1.67, 2.04)

1.18 (1.03, 1.35)

1.32 (1.15, 1.52)

2.21 (1.99, 2.45)

 Severe exacerbation

1.69 (1.45, 1.96)

1.08 (0.88, 1.33)

1.57 (1.29, 1.92)

1.79 (1.54, 2.09)

 Death up to Day 1470

1.20 (0.99, 1.45)

1.17 (0.91, 1.51)

1.30 (1.00, 1.70)

1.15 (0.94, 1.41)

GOLD 4

 Moderate/severe exacerbation

1.84 (1.47, 2.32)

1.35 (0.85, 2.15)

1.57 (1.14, 2.16)

1.97 (1.55, 2.50)

 Severe exacerbation

1.69 (1.26, 2.25)

2.38 (1.46, 3.88)

1.81 (1.23, 2.67)

1.46 (1.09, 1.97)

 Death up to Day 1470

1.16 (0.84, 1.60)

1.52 (0.88, 2.63)

1.00 (0.60, 1.66)

1.22 (0.87, 1.70)

  1. Time to death was calculated from Month 6 (180 days) to the date of death or the end of the vital status follow-up (Day 1470)
  2. CI confidence interval, CID clinically important deterioration, GOLD Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease, HR hazard ratio, SGRQ St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire