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Table 5 Estimates and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and Youden’s index by groups of comorbidity for clinician-diagnosed COVID-19 against real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) diagnosis of COVID-19

From: Comparison of clinician diagnosis of COVID-19 with real time polymerase chain reaction in an adult-representative population in Sweden

 

“Severe” comorbidities1

“Moderately severe” comorbidities2

“Mild” comorbidities3

 

0

n = 39,262

Estimate

(95% CI)

1

n = 3164

Estimate

(95% CI)

2

n = 195

Estimate

(95% CI)

0

n = 31,093

Estimate

(95% CI)

1

n = 10,450

Estimate

(95% CI)

2

n = 1078

Estimate

(95% CI)

0

n = 21,790

Estimate

(95% CI)

1

n = 13,818

Estimate

(95% CI)

 ≥ 2

n = 7013

Estimate

(95% CI)

Sensitivity

0.78 (0.77–0.79)

0.83 (0.78–0.88)

0.69 (0.44–0.86)

0.78 (0.76–0.79)

0.80 (0.77–0.83)

0.84 (0.73–0.91)

0.78 (0.76–0.80)

0.79 (0.77–0.81)

0.78 (0.75–0.81)

Specificity

0.93 (0.93–0.93)

0.93 (0.92–0.94)

0.94 (0.90–0.97)

0.93 (0.93–0.93)

0.93 (0.93–0.94)

0.93 (0.91–0.94)

0.94 (0.94–0.94)

0.93 (0.93–0.94)

0.91 (0.91–0.92)

PPV

0.54 (0.53–0.56)

0.47 (0.42–0.52)

0.52 (0.32–0.72)

0.55 (0.54–0.57)

0.50 (0.48–0.53)

0.41 (0.33–0.50)

0.56 (0.54–0.57)

0.54 (0.52–0.57)

0.49 (0.46–0.52)

NPV

0.98 (0.97–0.98)

0.99 (0.98–0.99)

0.97 (0.93–0.99)

0.97 (0.97–0.98)

0.98 (0.98–0.99)

0.99 (0.98–0.99)

0.98 (0.98–0.98)

0.98 (0.97–0.98)

0.97 (0.97–0.98)

Youden’s index4

0.71 (0.70–0.72)

0.76 (0.70–0.81)

0.63 (0.39–0.81)

0.71 (0.69–0.72)

0.73 (0.70–0.76)

0.77 (0.66–0.84)

0.72 (0.70–0.74)

0.72 (0.70–0.74)

0.69 (0.66–0.72)

  1. NPV: negative predictive value. PPV: positive predictive value
  2. 1 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or diabetes
  3. 2 Asthma or hypertension
  4. 3 Eczema, rhinitis, or sleep disorder
  5. 4 Sensitivity + specificity – 1