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Table 2 Predictors of IPF disease progression at week 52

From: Serum surfactant protein D as a predictive biomarker for the efficacy of pirfenidone in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a post-hoc analysis of the phase 3 trial in Japan

Univariate analysis

Multivariate analysis

Parameter

Odds ratio

90% CI

p-value

Parameter

Odds ratio

95% CI

p-value

(A) Pirfenidone group

       

Gender; male vs. female

0.529

0.260, 1.077

0.1407

Gender; male vs. female

   

Age

0.968

0.927, 1.011

0.2223

Age

   

BMI

0.822

0.734, 0.921

0.0047

BMI

0.849

0.723, 0.998

0.0469

Smoking; current and former vs. never

0.444

0.224, 0.880

0.0510

Smoking; current and former vs. never

0.831

0.305, 2.266

0.7172

Dyspnea scale (modified by Fletcher)

1.359

0.884, 2.089

0.2413

Dyspnea scale (modified by Fletcher)

   

PaO2

1.016

0.984, 1.050

0.4188

PaO2

   

AaDO2

0.968

0.940, 0.998

0.0806

AaDO2

0.969

0.932, 1.007

0.1069

Lowest SpO2 during a 6MET

1.011

0.888, 1.151

0.8881

Lowest SpO2 during a 6MET

   

%VC

0.939

0.918, 0.960

 < 0.0001

%VC

0.943

0.916, 0.971

 < 0.0001

%DLCO

1.011

0.995, 1.029

0.2653

%DLCO

   

Serum SP-D

1.004

1.002, 1.006

0.0059

Serum SP-D

1.003

1.000, 1.006

0.0278

Serum SP-A

0.997

0.989, 1.004

0.4486

Serum SP-A

   

Serum KL-6

1.000

0.999, 1.000

0.2321

Serum KL-6

   

(B) Placebo group

       

Gender; male vs. female

0.700

0.317, 1.546

0.4589

Gender; male vs. female

   

Age

0.995

0.950, 1.042

0.8616

Age

   

BMI

0.791

0.690, 0.908

0.0053

BMI

0.833

0.704, 0.985

0.0323

Smoking; current and former vs. never

0.509

0.222, 1.166

0.1803

Smoking; current and former vs. never

   

Dyspnea scale (modified by Fletcher)

1.187

0.696, 2.025

0.5979

Dyspnea scale (modified by Fletcher)

   

PaO2

0.973

0.937, 1.011

0.2349

PaO2

   

AaDO2

1.005

0.971, 1.041

0.8057

AaDO2

   

Lowest SpO2 during a 6MET

0.839

0.708, 0.994

0.0889

Lowest SpO2 during a 6MET

0.908

0.723, 1.141

0.4084

%VC

0.949

0.925, 0.973

0.0006

%VC

0.957

0.927, 0.987

0.0049

%DLCO

0.981

0.962, 1.001

0.1139

%DLCO

   

Serum SP-D

1.001

0.999, 1.002

0.6032

Serum SP-D

   

Serum SP-A

1.001

0.996, 1.007

0.7249

Serum SP-A

   

Serum KL-6

1.000

1.000, 1.000

0.9441

Serum KL-6

   
  1. The disease progression was defined by a > 10% relative decline in vital capacity from baseline and/or death. Logistic regression analysis
  2. IPF idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, CI confidence interval, BMI body mass index, PaO2 partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood, AaDO2 alveolar–arterial oxygen difference, SpO2 peripheral capillary oxygen saturation, 6MET 6-min steady-state exercise test, VC vital capacity, DLCO diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, SP surfactant protein, KL Krebs von den Lungen