From: The effect of changes to GOLD severity stage on long term morbidity and mortality in COPD
GOLD Category Change | Primary outcome | Secondary outcome | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Multivariate time dependent analyses | Respiratory specific mortality | Respiratory hospitalisation | ||||
HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
A → A | 1.00 ref | 1.00 ref | 1.00 ref | |||
A → BC | 1.66 (1.34–2.07) | <.0001 | 2.28 (1.50–3.46) | 0.0001 | 1.62 (1.31–2.01) | <.0001 |
A → D | 2.08 (1.30–3.32) | 0.0022 | 4.68 (2.37–9.23) | <.0001 | 3.13 (2.13–4.60) | <.0001 |
BC → A | 1.58 (1.23–2.02) | 0.0003 | 2.27 (1.43–3.60) | 0.0005 | 1.44 (1.13–1.83) | 0.0034 |
BC → BC | 1.98 (1.67–2.35) | <.0001 | 3.27 (2.34–4.55) | <.0001 | 2.32 (1.97–2.73) | <.0001 |
BC → D | 3.21 (2.61–3.94) | <.0001 | 7.51 (5.30–10.66) | <.0001 | 4.81 (3.98–5.82) | <.0001 |
D → A | 1.31 (0.61–2.78) | 0.4890 | 0.79 (0.11–5.70) | 0.8112 | 1.01 (0.42–2.46) | 0.9755 |
D → BC | 2.96 (2.32–3.78) | <.0001 | 7.38 (4.99–10.93) | <.0001 | 4.12 (3.29–5.17) | <.0001 |
D → D | 4.31 (3.64–5.10) | <.0001 | 12.86 (9.47–17.46) | <.0001 | 5.87 (4.97–6.92) | <.0001 |