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Table 3 Risk factors associated with transplant-free 30-day and 90-day mortality in cirrhotic patients with pneumonia

From: Pneumonia in patients with cirrhosis: risk factors associated with mortality and predictive value of prognostic models

Variables

90-day

30-day

Univariate

 

Multivariate

 

Univariate

 

Multivariate

 

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

HR (95% CI)

P value

 

Model 1: Baseline parameters

   

Model 1: Baseline parameters

   

Age

1.000 (0.982–1.018)

0.998

1.020 (1.001–1.041)

0.043

1.004 (0.981–1.027)

0.761

  

Multilobar infiltration

2.474 (1.125–5.443)

0.024

  

1.954 (0.760–5.027)

0.164

  

Bacteremia

2.88 (1.419–5.843)

0.003

2.651 (1.488–4.724)

0.001

2.293 (0.894–5.877)

0.084

3.037 (1.515–6.090)

0.002

Inappropriate empirical antibiotic use

8.894 (4.516–17.516)

<0.001

3.126 (1.726–5.662)

<0.001

7.645 (3.194–18.295)

<0.001

2.326 (1.158–4.673)

0.018

SIRS

3.061 (1.662–5.637)

<0.001

  

2.788 (1.278–6.084)

0.01

  

Ascites

2.931 (1.264–6.800)

0.012

  

1.918 (0.749–4.912)

0.175

  

Hepatorenal syndrome

3.847 (2.238–6.614)

<0.001

  

3.013 (1.494–6.076)

0.002

  

Hepatic encephalopathy

3.534 (2.073–6.023)

<0.001

  

3.416 (1.746–6.683)

<0.001

  
 

Model 2: Laboratory exam

   

Model 2: Laboratory exam

   

Age

1.000 (0.982–1.018)

0.998

1.026 (1.006–1.047)

0.013

1.004 (0.981–1.027)

0.761

1.024 (0.997–1.051)

0.082

WBC (109 /L)

1.070 (1.048–1.091)

<0.001

1.551 (1.358–1.771)

<0.001

1.066 (1.040–1.092)

<0.001

1.452 (1.257–1.676)

<0.001

Platelet count (109/L)

0.986 (0.979–0.994)

<0.001

  

0.989 (0.980–0.998)

0.012

  

INR

1.273 (1.190–1.362)

<0.001

  

1.242 (1.163–1.326)

<0.001

  

Total Bilirubin (mg/dL)

1.003 (1.001–1.004)

<0.001

1.059 (1.021–1.098)

0.002

1.003 (1.001–1.004)

0.004

  

Hemoglobin (g/L)

0.985 (0.975–0.996)

0.006

  

0.991 (0.978–1.004)

0.159

  

HCT

0.938 (0.903–0.976)

0.001

  

0.955 (0.912–1.000)

0.052

  

Creatinine (μmol/L)

1.003 (1.001–1.004)

<0.001

  

1.003 (1.001–1.004)

0.004

  

Glucose

1.075 (1.046–1.105)

<0.001

  

1.060 (1.019–1.102)

0.004

  
 

Model 3:

Severity scores

   

Model 3:

Severity scores

   

CLIF-SOFA score

1.319 (1.250–1.393)

<0.001

  

1.296 (1.213–1.386)

<0.001

  

Child-Pugh C grade

7.024 (3.193–15.450)

<0.001

  

5.198 (2.025–13.344)

0.001

  

MELD

1.096 (1.076–1.117)

<0.001

  

1.086 (1.061–1.112)

<0.001

  

MELD-Na

1.066 (1.050–1.083)

<0.001

  

1.062 (1.041–1.083)

<0.001

  

PSI scores

1.023 (1.018–1.028)

<0.001

  

1.024 (1.017–1.031)

<0.001

  

qSOFA≥2

6.248 (3.752–10.402)

<0.001

  

8.654 (4.546–16.474)

<0.001

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