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Table 3 Results of base case NMA: Difference in intervention versus the comparator for CFB in SGRQ total score at 6 months, 95% credible intervals, and probability that the intervention is better than the comparator

From: Comparative efficacy of long-acting bronchodilators for COPD - a network meta-analysis

Intervention

Comparator

PLACEBO

TIO 18

SAL 50

FOR 12

TIO 5

IND 150

IND 300

GPM 50

PLACEBO

estimate

0.00

2.63

1.31

2.58

2.21

3.87

3.57

3.18

95% CrI

  

1.91

3.31

0.48

2.21

0.60

4.53

0.78

3.61

2.56

5.17

2.30

4.84

1.78

4.56

P(better)

  

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

TIO 18

estimate

−2.63

0.00

−1.32

−0.05

−0.42

1.24

0.94

0.55

95% CrI

−3.31

−1.91

  

−2.32

−0.21

−2.09

2.01

−1.98

1.17

−0.15

2.63

−0.41

2.31

−0.92

2.04

P(better)

>99%

  

99%

52%

72%

4%

8%

22%

SAL 50

estimate

−1.31

1.32

0.00

1.27

0.91

2.56

2.26

1.87

95% CrI

−2.21

−0.48

0.21

2.32

  

−0.92

3.36

−0.82

2.50

1.03

4.00

0.74

3.75

0.21

3.44

P(better)

>99%

1%

  

12%

13%

<1%

<1%

1%

FOR 12

estimate

−2.58

0.05

−1.27

0.00

−0.37

1.30

1.00

0.61

95% CrI

−4.53

−0.60

−2.01

2.09

−3.36

0.92

  

−2.78

2.05

−0.97

3.56

−0.96

2.98

−1.81

3.02

P(better)

99%

48%

88%

  

62%

13%

16%

31%

TIO 5

estimate

−2.21

0.42

−0.91

0.37

0.00

1.67

1.36

0.97

95% CrI

−3.61

−0.78

−1.17

1.98

−2.50

0.82

−2.05

2.78

  

−0.29

3.58

−0.53

3.26

−1.01

2.94

P(better)

>99%

28%

87%

38%

  

4%

7%

15%

IND 150

estimate

−3.87

−1.24

−2.56

−1.30

−1.67

0.00

−0.30

−0.70

95% CrI

−5.17

−2.56

−2.63

0.15

−4.00

−1.03

−3.56

0.97

−3.58

0.29

  

−1.82

1.24

−2.59

1.28

P(better)

>99%

96%

>99%

87%

96%

  

65%

77%

IND 300

estimate

−3.57

−0.94

−2.26

−1.00

−1.36

0.30

0.00

−0.39

95% CrI

−4.84

−2.30

−2.31

0.41

−3.75

−0.74

−2.98

0.96

−3.26

0.53

−1.24

1.82

  

−2.28

1.47

P(better)

>99%

92%

>99%

84%

93%

35%

  

66%

GPM 50

estimate

−3.18

−0.55

−1.87

−0.61

−0.97

0.70

0.39

0.00

95% CrI

−4.56

−1.78

−2.04

0.92

−3.44

−0.21

−3.02

1.81

−2.94

1.01

−1.28

2.59

−1.47

2.28

  

P(better)

>99%

78%

99%

69%

85%

23%

34%

  
  1. 95% CrI = 95% Credible Interval; P(better) = Probability of being the treatment being better than the comparator in terms of the outcome assessed; CFB = Change from baseline; FOR 12 = Formoterol 12 μg twice daily (BID); GPM 50 = Glycopyrronium 50 μg once daily (OD); IND 150 = Indacaterol 150 μg OD; IND 300 = Indacaterol 300 μg OD; SAL 50 = Salmeterol 50 μg BID; SGRQ = St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire; TIO 5 = Tiotropium 5 μg OD; TIO 18 = Tiotropium 18 μg OD.