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Table 1 Essential index summaries: general information, predictive ability, population and study quality.

From: Multidimensional prognostic indices for use in COPD patient care. A systematic review

INDEX

GENERAL INDEX INFORMATION

INDEX QUALITY

POPULATION

STUDY QUALITY

KEY STRENGTHS/FLAWS

Scale and

publication year

Index aim

Cited

(SCI)

Predictors

Outcome

Predictor ind. Sig.

Discrimi

nation

Accu

racy

Compare to

N

Age

(year)

Mean

FEV1%

Score

Model building

Val.

cohort

 

ADO

10-points scale

2009

C

14

Age

Dyspnoea (MRC or GCRQ)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Death

Yes

Modest

Good

BODE

232

342

72

68

52%

all < 80%

Fairly good

A*

+

Accurate

Age is paradoxical

Elderly patients only

BODE

10-point scale

4 categories

2004

C

580

BMI (length/weight2)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Dyspnoea (MRC score)

Exercise tolerance (6MWD)

Death

Respiratory death

Yes

Death:

Good

Respiratory:

no report

-

FEV1%

207

625

66

67

39-47%

Good

A*

+

Good quality

Good discrimination

Severe COPD only

Exclusion of CVD

➣ BODEx

9-point scale

4 categories

2009

D

7

BMI (length/weight 2 )

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Dyspnoea (MRC score)

Exacerbations

Death

All but 1

Good

-

BODE

185

71

48%

Fair

P

-

Good discrimination

Elderly males only

➣ e-BODE

12-point scale

4 categories

2009

D

7

Exacerbations

BMI (length/weight 2 )

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Dyspnoea (MRC score)

Exercise tolerance (6MWD)

Death

All but 1

Good

-

BODE

185

71

48%

Fair

A

-

Good discrimination

Elderly males only

➣ mBODE

10-point scale

2007

D

3

BMI (length/weight 2 )

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Dyspnoea (MRC score)

Exercise max. O 2 -use

Correlation BODE

-

-

-

BODE

50

63

63%

Fair

A

-

Small sample

Restricted outcome and analysis

COPDSS: COPD Severity Score

35-point scale

2008

E

7

Respiratory symptoms

Systemic corticosteroids

Other COPD medications

Hospitalization/Intubation

Home oxygen use

Respiratory outpatient

Respiratory ED visit

Respiratory hospital

-

(index yes)

-

-

-

267

65

54%

Fair

P

±$

Nomogram

Diagnosis based on self-report

No outcome confirmation

CPI: COPD Prognostic Index

100-point scale

3 categories

2008

C

2

Quality of life (SGRQ/CRQ)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Age

Gender

BMI

History of ED/exacerbation

History of CVD

Death

Hospitalization

Exacerbation

Depends on outcome

Model:

Good

Val.cohort:

no report

-

-

5856

2946

64

64

44%

Fairly poor

P*

+

Adequate statistics

Large sample

Selective reporting

Pooled analysis

DOREMI BOX

10-point scale

2 categories

2008

D

?

Dyspnoea (ATS)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Rate of Exacerbation

Movement (6MWD)

BMI (length/weight2)

Blood OXygen (PaO2)

Correlation BODE

Death

Yes

(2 no report)

-

-

BODE

84

59

35%

(18-73%)

Fairly good

A

-

Clear descriptions

Long follow-up

Small sample

Limited statistics

Severe population

DOSE,

8-point scale

2009

C

3

Dyspnoea (MRC score)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Smoking

Exacerbations

Correlation BODE Exacerbation

Hospitalization for exacerbation

-

(index partly)

Hospital

Good

Exacerbation

no report

-

BODE

375

81

133

69

73

67

42-67%

all < 80%

Fairly poor

P*

+#

Difficult, complex and selective reporting

Violated own protocol

HADO

12-point scale

3 categories

2006

C

5

Health (new questionnaire)

Activity (new questionnaire)

Dyspnoea (Fletcher)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Death

No

Modest

-

FEV1%

611

67

50%

all < 80%

Fairly good

P

-

Clear descriptions

Compared to FEV 1 %

Modest discrimination

Predictors debatable

Niewoehner (1)

422-point scale

2007

C

27

Age

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Hospitalization

COPD duration

Productive cough

Antibiotics

Systemic corticosteroids

Theophylline

Exacerbation

Yes

Modest

Seems good@

-

1829

69

36%

all < 60%

Fair

A*

-

Large sample

No validation cohort

Severe COPD/males only

No outcome confirmation

Niewoehner (2)

249-point scale

2007

C

27

Age

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Hospitalization

Unscheduled visits

Cardiovascular disease

Oral corticosteroids

Hospitalization for exacerbation

Yes

Good

Seems good@

-

1829

69

36%

all < 60%

Fair

A*

-

Good discrimination

Large sample

No validation cohort

Severe COPD/males only

No outcome confirmation

Predictor is outcome

PILE 2010

10-point scale

4 categories

C

0

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Interleukin-6

Knee extensor strength

Death

Yes

Good

-

FEV1%

mBODE

268

73

63%

all > 30%

Fair

A*

-

Long follow-up

Good statistics

No validation cohort

SAFE 2007

9-point scale

4 categories

C

5

SGRQ score (questionnaire)

Air-flow limitation (FEV1%)

Exercise tolerance (6MWD)

Exacerbation

(correlation)

-

-

-

-

86

68

43%

(12-98%)

Fair

P

-

Small sample

Poor statistics

Schembri

(TARDIS)

16-point scale

2009

C

0

Age

BMI

Dyspnoea (MRC score)

Obstruction (FEV1%)

Hospitalization

Influenza vaccination

Hospitalization for COPD or respiratory death as 1 outcome

Yes

-

-

-

3343

?

?

all < 80%

Fair to fairly poor

A*

-

Large sample

No validation cohort

Composite outcome

Limited statistics

  1. Indices are sorted alphabetically. Index aim: primary purpose of utilization: C) clinical use, D) further development of existing index, E) epidemiologic use; Score: average of bias screening form; Model building: priorities in model development (* if predictors are statistically selected): A) accuracy, P) pragmatism; Val. cohort: separate validation cohort; SCI: science citation index; Predictor ind. sig.: independent significance of predictors for outcome; $: same cohort, different time-window; #: Selective use and reporting of cohorts;@: reliability plot without statistics. CVD: cardiovascular disease